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标题: Derivatives Forward Question [打印本页]

作者: lunarfollies    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46     标题: Derivatives Forward Question

In one of the schweser mock exams, i think book 2 afternoon sessions there's a question that asks about the growth of the dividend yield.

F = S x e power (rf - Dy ) n/N (index)

Will it be positive for the person holding the long position to have a higher dividend yield growth?

I don't really find it positive however schweser says it is ..

Any advice?
作者: genuinecfa    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

Bilal Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------

> Will it be positive for the person holding the
> long position to have a higher dividend yield
> growth?


huh?
作者: scarecrow    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

As in who will benefit the most if the growth rate in dividend increases, the person who is in the short or long position on the equity index?
作者: scarecrow    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

I thought growth rate in dividend increases Dividend Yield which then decreases F .. my bad thanks though! appreciated
作者: RMontgomery    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

I don't know about the particular problem mentioned in Schweser, but I couldn't follow why they say the long benefits.

Forward price = FV (Spot price0) - FV (Dividend).

If dividends increase after you went long the contract, the price of the contract will drop, because you will now deduct more in the above formula, making the price go lower.
作者: senlinlang    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

Yeah that's why i got really confused
作者: jarobi04    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

Heres my opinion, he has already locked in the F rate, so what happens after will not affect the rate that he will get, but an increase in div should theoretically make the index price/level increase, so the difference between F and S is now greater



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at Monday, May 9, 2011 at 09:01AM by pedpenny.
作者: kingstongal    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

They say dividend yield growth, so id assume i higher dividend yield g will increase the index level i.e. the future spot
作者: wilslm    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

May be it's confusing but here is what is clear to me.

Let us say today IBM is trading at $100. You buy a forward contract on IBM for $110 which expires in 1 year.

After two months IBM declares a special dividend of $10 to be paid a day before year end (i.e., a day before contract expires). The price of IBM will then drop $10 on ex-dividend day. You will then pay $110 to own a stock that has just dropped $10.

You (the long) clearly lost (not gained as stated above) due to a rise in dividend. No?
作者: giants2010    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

Yes, but they say dividend yield, so would the index not be more valuable, and therefore command a higher price
作者: mp3bu    时间: 2011-7-11 19:46

An increase in the dividend yield should decrease the derivative price otherwise your forward contract would increase in value along with an increase in yield/income which should not fundamentally occur otherwise you'd have an arbitrage opp.

All income received while holding a derivative asset (forward, future, option, etc...) should be subtracted. I don 't think you can assume that the underlying index/stock price increases just based off of the increased dividend yield. We know it should, but for the exam I wouldn't assume that the underlying increased in value unless specifically told so.




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