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标题: Monte Carlo simulation [打印本页]

作者: Howd    时间: 2011-7-13 15:56     标题: Monte Carlo simulation

Hi ,all

R26 EOC P.332 q12

Please instruct me how to read the EXHIBIT8 ?

90percent line indicates wealth level which will be realized 90percent probability?

what does "wealth percentiles" mean?

Thanks in advance.
作者: Roflnadal    时间: 2011-7-13 15:56

wealth percentile means percentage of wealthy people below that line.
so 90 percentile mean 90% lie below that.

Since we need a 90 percentile probability - look at the 10% line.
value in 2012 does it meet the 630K criterion or not?
(and it has to be an approximation only) given the axis on the left showing wealth is a lognormal line. (100K, 1000K and 10000K are equidistant from each other).

CP
作者: bboo    时间: 2011-7-13 15:56

Thanks CP !!




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