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CFA Level 1 - 模考试题(2)(PM) Q26-30

Question 26

 

 

Which of the following statements about testing a hypothesis using a Z-test is least accurate?

 

 

A)    A Type I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true.

B)   The calculated Z-statistic determines the appropriate significance level to use.

C)   If the calculated Z-statistic lies outside the critical Z-statistic range, the null hypothesis can be rejected.

D)   The confidence interval for a two-tailed test of a population mean at the 5% level of significance is that the sample mean falls between ±1.96 σ/√n of the null hypothesis value.

Question 27

 

 

The average amount of snow that falls during January in Frostbite
    Falls is normally distributed with a mean of 35 inches and a standard deviation of 5 inches. The probability that the snowfall amount in January of next year will be between 40 inches and 26.75 inches is closest to:

 

 

A)    68%.

B)   79%.

C)   95%.

D)   87%.

 

 

Question 28

 

 

Identify the error type associated with the level of significance and the meaning of a 5 percent significance level.

    Error type        α = 0.05 means there is a 5 percent probability of:

 

 

A)    Type I error       rejecting a true null hypothesis
B)   Type II error       rejecting a true null hypothesis

C)   Type I error       failing to reject a true null hypothesis

D)   Type II error       failing to reject a true null hypothesis

Question 29

 

 

The possible outcomes for a random variable are described by a continuous uniform distribution with a lower limit of -15 and an upper limit of +25. The probability that the variable has a negative value is closest to:

 

 

A)    0.0%.

B)   25.5%.

C)   37.5%.

D)   60.0%.

Question 30

 

 

The mean return for the population of all stocks on an exchange in the year 20X1 was 5.0%. The mean return from a sample of 20 randomly selected stocks on that exchange in 20X1 was 4.0%. The difference of -1.0% is best defined as the:

 

 

A)    1% confidence interval.

B)   mean sampling difference.

C)   sampling error.

D)   standard error of the sample mean.

[此贴子已经被作者于2008-11-8 18:03:13编辑过]

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