Suppose that the current interest rates in the U.S. and the European Union are 13.665% and 8.500%, respectively. Also, the spot rate for the dollar is 1.1975 US$/euro, and the 1-year forward rate is 1.2545 US$/euro. If $100 is invested, what is the total arbitrage profit that a U.S. investor could earn?
A) |
No arbitrage profit can be made. | |
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Interest rate parity requires that: (Forward/Spot) = [(1+rD)/(1+rF)] (1.2545/1.1975) = [1.13665/1.085] So, interest rate parity holds and no arbitrage opportunity exists.
Alternately:
(1 + 0.13665) = [(1 + 0.085)(1.2545) / 1.1975]
1.13665 = [(1.085)(1.2545) / 1.1975]
1.13665 = 1.36113 / 1.1975
1.13665 = 1.13665, therefore no arbitrage profit can be made.
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