Suppose that market participants give the most importance to the most recent movements in yield. Which of the following best describes how the historical yield estimate should be adjusted?
A) |
Use only the most recent observations. | |
B) |
Give increased weight to the implied volatility measure. | |
C) |
Give increased weight to the most recent observations. | |
In this way the forecasted volatility reacts faster to a recent major market movement. |