| The concept of spot and forward rates is most closely associated with which of the following explanations of the term structure of interest rates? 
 
 
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| A) | Expectations hypothesis. |  |  
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| B) | Segmented market theory. |  |  
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| C) | Liquidity premium theory. |  |  
 
 
The pure expectations theory purports that forward rates are solely a function of expected future spot rates. In other words, long-term interest rates equal the mean of future expected short-term rates. This implies that an investor could earn the same return by investing in a 1-year bond or by sequentially investing in two 6-month bonds. The implications for the shape of the yield curve under the pure expectations theory are: 
If the yield-curve is upward sloping, short-term rates are expected to rise. 
If the curve is downward sloping, short-term rates are expected to fall. 
A flat yield curve implies that the market expects short-term rates to remain constant.  |