Junior analyst Xander Marshall sends an e-mail to his boss, Janet Jacobs, CFA, suggesting that Peterson Novelties is manipulating its results to artificially inflate profits. He cites four reasons for his conclusion:
- The LIFO reserve is declining.
- Earnings are much higher in the September quarter than in other quarters.
- Many nonoperating and nonrecurring gains are being recorded as revenue.
- Much of Peterson’s earnings come from equity investments not reflected on the cash-flow statement.
Jacobs is less concerned about Peterson’s earnings than Marshall is, though she does resolve to check out one of his concerns. Which of Marshall’s observations best supports his conclusion?
A) |
Nonoperating and nonrecurring gains recorded as revenue. | |
B) |
Equity investment earnings not reflected on the cash-flow statement. | |
C) |
The declining LIFO reserve. | |
On its own, a declining LIFO reserve is not a sign of fraud. Peterson Novelties could have simply moved a lot of inventory and disclosed the LIFO liquidation in its footnotes. When unusual gains are recorded as revenue they will artificially boost sales growth. Each of the above issues are potential danger signs, but can also be easily explained in a manner beyond reproach. However, earnings from equity investments that do not generate cash flow are of very low quality and warrant further examination.
|