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发表于 2012-3-31 11:46
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Heather Callaway, CFA, is concerned about the accuracy of her valuation of Crimson Gate, a fast-growing telecommunications-equipment company that her firm rates as a top buy. Crimson currently trades at $134 per share, and Callaway has put together the following information about the stock:
Most recent dividend per share | $0.55 | Growth rate, next 2 years | 30% | Growth rate, after 2 years | 12% | Trailing P/E | 25.6 | Financial leverage | 3.4 | Sales | $11.98 per share | Asset turnover | 11.2 | Estimated market rate of return | 13.2% |
Callaway’s employer, Bates Investments, likes to use a company’s sustainable growth rate as a key input to obtaining the required rate of return for the company’s stock.
Crimson’s sustainable growth rate is closest to:
Sustainable growth rate = ROE × retention rate
Earnings per share = price / (P/E) = $134 / 25.6 = $5.23
The retention rate represents the portion of earnings not paid out in dividends. = (5.23 − 0.55) / 5.23 = 0.89 or 89%
ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage
ROE = 5.23 / 11.98 × 11.2 × 3.4 = 16.6%
Sustainable growth rate = 89% × 16.6% = 14.8% |
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