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发表于 2012-3-31 09:31
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Analyst Louise Dorgan has put together a short fact sheet on two companies, Benson Orchards and Terra Firma Development.
<P [td=1,1,122]Benson Orchards | Terra Firma Development | Price/earnings ratio | 18.5 | <P [/td] | Most recent dividend | $0.56 per share | $1.67 per share | Estimated stock return | 15% | <P [/td] | Estimated market return | <P [td=1,1,183]13% | Beta | 1.2 | 1.7 | Trailing profits | $5.16 per share | <P [/td] | Stock-market value | $123 million | $1.678 billion | Shares outstanding | <P [td=1,1,183]875 million |
The risk-free rate is 3.6%, and Dorgan estimates the stock market’s equity risk premium as 7.5%.
Using only the data presented above, can Dorgan create a Gordon Growth model for:
| Benson Orchards | Terra Firm Development |
To calculate a growth rate using the Gordon Growth model, we use four variables (one being the growth rate itself). If we have any three of the variables, we can solve for the fourth. The four variables are: stock price, dividend, required return, and dividend growth rate. The data presented are sufficient for the calculation of three of the variables for both companies.
Benson Orchards
We know the most recent dividend and the estimate stock return. From the P/E ratio and the trailing profits, we can determine the stock price. From those three pieces of data, we can calculate the dividend growth rate.
Terra Firma
We have the dividend. We can determine the stock price by dividing market value by shares outstanding. We can derive the estimated stock return using the capital asset pricing model. From those three statistics, we can create a Gordon Growth model and solve for the dividend-growth rate. |
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